A new study by the Socioeconomic Research Bureau (SERB) under the Congressional Policy and Budget Research Department (CPBRD) highlights the potential impact of the proposed Anti-Political Dynasty Bill, House Committee on Suffrage and Electoral Reforms chair Zia Alonto Adiong said.
Adiong, representative of Lanao del Sur’s first district, said the research underpins the transformative potential of House Bill No. 8389, which seeks to enforce the constitutional ban on political dynasties.
The bureau reviewed Commission on Elections records for provincial, district, and municipal elective posts. Preliminary results indicate that 9,852 of 17,983 local government positions—or 54.8 percent—are occupied by members of political dynasties, representing roughly 4,239 families.
“The data clearly shows that the committee version – with the second-degree consanguinity/affinity limitation – will have a significant impact on political dynasties. Projections indicate that over 5,000 elective positions could be vacated by individuals from political dynasties once the measure takes effect,” Adiong said.
He added that the full research paper will be published soon, but initial findings already suggest substantial effects if the bill becomes law.
“We have emphasized this in our media briefings and public hearings: the 2nd-degree limit is both implementable and meaningful,” he said.
The findings are consistent with a survey by the League of Municipalities of the Philippines, which found that 61 percent of mayors serve in areas where family members previously held elective posts.
Adiong stressed that the second-degree provision balances reform and feasibility by creating opportunities for new leaders without being overly restrictive.
The House of Representatives is scheduled to hold plenary debates on HB 8389 this Wednesday afternoon.